Introduction

The Environmental Pathways for Reconciliation project aims to support sustainable peace in Yemen by engaging local and national actors in environmental dialogue and cooperation.

Problem

Objective

Approach

Learning

Environmental degradation, unsustainable natural resources practices, and climate change are posing risks to security in Yemen. Issues such as the loss of livelihoods, food insecurity, displacement, and deteriorating public health contribute to tensions and undermine stability.

The EPfR project supports local and national actors to identify and act upon these environment-related security risks, using them as entry points for dialogue and elements of peacemaking.

The EPfR project consults and convenes different parties from the community- to the national level to discuss environmental challenges and solutions to support local resilience and open avenues for dialogue and cooperation.

Through its innovative environmental peacemaking approach, the project generates lessons that contribute to guiding integrated programmes on climate, peace and security – in Yemen and internationally.

Context

Climate security in Yemen

Amidst long-standing violent conflict, economic downturn, and one of the world’s largest humanitarian crises, unaddressed environmental and climate risks aggravate tensions, generate violence, and prolong conflict in Yemen.

The protracted conflict has contributed to large-scale environmental degradation and the deterioration of Yemen’s natural resources due to:

  • Destructive military activity, including attacks on oil infrastructure, zoning and cordoning of agricultural areas and coastal fisheries, UXOs, and the planting of mines;
  • Challenges in public management due to strained resources and capacities;
  • Unsustainable practices driven by the economic and humanitarian urgencies, as many people resort to adverse means such as deforestation or well-drilling to fulfil basic needs.

Climate change is compounding these problems, impacting Yemen’s natural resources, contributing to increased displacement, and deepening the humanitarian crisis. In recent years, Yemen has repeatedly experienced drought, floods and storms, pest infestations, and sudden disease outbreaks. In 2023, natural disasters displaced close to 320,000 people from their homes. Surface and groundwater are becoming increasingly scarce, leading Yemen into a severe water crisis, ranking among the lowest per capita water availability globally.

Leaving a vital imprint on Yemen’s economy and livelihoods, the deterioration of Yemen’s natural resources and ecosystems contributes to conflicts and mistrust at different levels. Even before the escalation of the war, the competition for access to water and land had already led to local conflicts. In 2023, about 1,200 people reported environmentally driven tensions in their districts. Addressing climate-related security risks in the context of Yemen’s conflict is now a priority. Failing to tackle these risks may spoil political peace processes and undermine the prospects for durable peace.

Climate and environment

Yemen is one of the world’s most vulnerable country to climate change, facing a myriad of natural hazards and climate adaptation challenges.

Topographical variance separates Yemen into five main geographic zones: the hot, humid coastal plain (Tihama) in the west; the dry, sparsely populated eastern desert plain; the eastern highlands with seasonal water streams; the western highlands, which show higher rainfall than the other regions; and the islands located in the Red Sea and the Arabian Sea, which are rich in marine species. Overall, high temperatures, low precipitation and seasonal monsoon rains make the country prone to drought and flooding.

Yemen is among the most climate vulnerable countries globally, facing a myriad of natural hazards including cyclones and floods, rising sea levels, and heatwaves. Mean temperatures in Yemen are projected to rise by 1.2 – 3.3 °C compared to pre-industrial levels by 2060. Rainfall is expected to occur more erratically and in more frequent heavy rainfall events, increasing the risks of floods and storms. Coastal areas will be affected by rising sea levels.

Projected annual mean temperature in Yemen (in ºC)
Projected annual precipitation in Yemen (in mm)

Conflict and peace process

For the past 30 years, political conflicts in Yemen have fragmented its society, strained its economy, and caused extreme humanitarian suffering. Sustainable peace will require an inclusive process tackling all factors of the conflict.

A faltering political transition following the 2011 uprising, a takeover of the capital Sana’a by the Houthi movement in 2014, and a Saudi-led military intervention starting in 2015, have progressively led to a complex conflict. Peace efforts have intermittently halted violence for brief periods and to a limited scale but have not brought about a settlement.

22 May

1990

The unification of north (Yemen Arab Republic) and south (People’s Democratic Republic of Yemen) forms the Republic of Yemen under President Ali Abdullah Saleh.

May-July

1994

Civil war between the armies of the north and south, in which President Saleh prevents the south from splitting with the north.

Year

2000

Al-Qaeda emerged in Yemen after the bombing of the USS Cole at the port of Aden, prompting the United States to pressure the Yemeni government to combat terrorism.

Year

2004

Hostilities between the Houthi group (Ansar Allah) and Yemen’s Government lead to armed confrontations and several wars that continue until 2010.

July

2007

Inception of the Southern Hirak Movement calling for Southern autonomy.

January

2009

Al-Qaeda branches of Saudi Arabia and Yemen merge under Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP).

Year

2011

Arab Spring protests demand the end of Saleh’s 33-year rule. Despite violent efforts to crack down on the protests, Saleh eventually signs a deal to hand his powers to Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi to form a unity government.

21 February

2012

Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi is sworn in as the new President of Yemen after running unopposed.

18 March

2013

National Dialogue Conference (NDC) begins, with participation of different political groups to discuss the country’s main problems including the drafting of a more inclusive, federal constitution.

25 January

2014

The NDC concludes with a document offering outcomes and recommendations to address issues ranging from transitional justice, governance, state building and the constitution, to dealing with grievances in Sa’ada and the South.

September

2014

Following weeks of protests and backed by forces loyal to Ali Abdullah Saleh, the Houthis seize the capital Sana’a. Despite the signature of a Peace and National Partnership Agreement between the Houthis and the Yemeni government just hours after the capture, the Houthis continue their military expansion and shortly thereafter capture the port city Hodeidah.

January

2015

After failure to negotiate an agreement with the Houthis, Hadi resigns as President.

February

2015

Houthis announce the suspension of the constitution and seize the Government. Hadi flees the presidential palace in Sana’a and escapes to Aden, where he later rescinds his resignation.

March

2015

Houthis advance toward southern Yemen. President Hadi flees Aden and takes refuge in Saudi Arabia.

26 March

2015

A coalition of Arab states, led by Saudi Arabia, enters the conflict to restore Hadi’s government, with airstrikes targeting the Houthis.

June

2015

The Houthis launch their first ballistic missile toward Saudi Arabia, which is intercepted by the Royal Saudi Air Defense Forces. In the years to follow, they begin using more advanced missiles against Saudi targets.

May

2017

The Southern Transitional Council (STC) is formed to push for Southern independence.

Dcember

2017

Former President Ali Abdullah Saleh is killed by the Houthis after the collapse of their alliance.

December

2018

Negotiations in Sweden conclude with the Stockholm Agreement, committing parties to a ceasefire, a redeployment of troops in Hodeidah and managing of its ports, a mechanism for prisoner swaps, and an understanding on the city of Taiz, which was under blockade since 2015.

August

2019

Southern separatists seize the presidential palace in Aden after days of clashes with government loyalists.

5 November

2019

The Hadi-led Government of Yemen and the STC sign the Riyadh Agreement to end repeated fighting and strengthen the anti-Houthi front.

25 April

2020

The STC claims self-rule over several southern provinces, including the temporary capital Aden.

February

2021

The United States end their support for the Saudi-led coalition’s military operations and removes the Houthis from a “terrorist” blacklist.

2 April

2022

A national UN-brokered ceasefire is reached and comes into effect on 2 April. Despite some allegations of violations, the ceasefire largely holds, showing the lowest levels of violence seen since 2015.

7 April

2022

President Hadi hands his powers to a new Presidential Leadership Council (PLC), led by Rashad Al-Alimi, in efforts consolidate partnerships with political forces, enhance power sharing, and re-organize the government.

2 October

2022

UN-mediated truce expires after two renewals, without the parties reaching an agreement.

April

2023

Following a China-brokered rapprochement between Iran and Saudi Arabia, Saudi officials join peace negotiations in the Houthi-controlled capital Sana’a after years of deadlock.

September

2023

A delegation of Houthi officials and Omani mediators visits Saudi Arabia for a five-day round of negotiations in the first official visit by Houthis to the country since 2014. Despite widespread optimism, no concrete agreement emerged from the visit.

October

2023

Following escalations in the Gaza strip, the Houthis declare their entry into the war in support of Palestine. In the following weeks, the Houthis target several ships in the Red Sea, causing large-scale interruptions of international sea trade.

January

2024

The United States and the United Kingdom carry out coordinated air strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen. The Biden administration re-designates the Houthis as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT). Attacks on ships in the Red Sea and strikes on Houthi-held territory continue throughout 2024.

June

2024

The Houthis sentence 44 people to death for collaborating with the Saudi-led coalition and detain several employees of UN agencies and aid organisations.

20 July

2024

Israel strikes oil refineries and power stations in Hodeidah. In response, the Houthis attack the Israeli city Eilat on the following day. Direct escalations between Israel and the Houthis continue in the following months.

January

2025

Following Trump’s inauguration as the 47th President of the United States, the US renews its designation of the Houthis as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO).

Drag

Approach

Environmental peacemaking

The EPfR introduces innovative avenues to unlock peace opportunities by using the environment as an entry point and element of dialogue, reconciliation, and trust-building from the local to the national level.

 

In the context of multifaceted political, humanitarian, and environmental crises, Yemen needs innovative entry points for mediation. Our environmental peacemaking approach aims to contribute to peace through the lens of addressing the environmental root causes of conflict. By identifying common grounds and solutions to environmental risks, the project supports relationship building and social cohesion, paving the way for addressing other complex political factors.

Bottom up

To ensure an approach that is grounded in the needs and perspectives of the broader population, the EPfR engages all layers of Yemen’s society.

The project builds upon the findings of a consultation with almost 16,000 individuals, conducted by the European Institute of Peace in 2020-2021, which found that the environment is an urgent priority of the local population in the search for peace and reconciliation.  The EPfR was developed to identify and understand how and why environmental issues are driving conflict in Yemen and explore how they can be addressed to support sustainable peace. The project consults actors from the local to the national levels, channelling concerns to the relevant actors and promoting their consideration in both governance priorities and peace efforts.

Inclusive and rights-based

The project’s bottom-up approach aims to ensure local ownership and buy-in to any peacemaking, conflict prevention, and reconciliation efforts.

 

By consulting Yemeni citizens, civil society, traditional leaders, and local decision-makers, the project supports the integration of local-level perspectives into peace efforts across tracks and governance decisions. Many Yemenis depend on natural resources and a healthy environment, but are struggling to access safe and affordable water, food, and other essential goods. The project’s consultations actively reached out to women (over 40% of participants), youth, displaced persons, persons with disabilities, farmers and fishers, and other groups that are heavily impacted by Yemen’s conflict and environmental crisis yet remain underrepresented in political and peace discussions.

Theory of change and activities

Theory of change and activities

We believe that integrated dialogue on environmental peacemaking, inclusive natural resources management, environmental cooperation, and enhanced environmental policy can contribute to creating the conditions for peace by fostering trust, strengthening the social fabric, and addressing environmental root causes of conflict.

To avoid environmental security risks further exacerbating the conflict in Yemen, peace efforts from the local to the international level need to include environmental considerations. The project supports this by systematically identifying environmental conflict and security risks, convening manifold actors in dialogues to discuss these risks, and exploring ways to collaborate for enhanced resilience.

Our theory of change

Main activity pillars

Dialogue and engagement

about environment-related security risks and peacemaking opportunities with Yemeni society and local leaders.

Voicing priorities and solutions

with decision- and policymakers at the national and international levels.

Analysis and learning

through on-the-ground consultations and research to inform peacemaking, mediation, and reconciliation efforts in Yemen and beyond.

What we do

Local-level dialogue

Through consultations and community dialogues, we reached to Yemenis across 13 governorates. We convened local decision-makers, traditional leaders, civil society, and subject experts to identify key concerns, priorities, and opportunities to tackle environmental risks as part of conflict resolution and prevention. Through these dialogue spaces, Yemenis can identify locally led peacemaking solutions to address these risks and enhance resilience.

Policy engagement

We engage policy- and decision-makers at the national level on environmental issues to enhance environmental governance, support cross-institutional coordination, and foster dialogue and cooperation. Read more about our first meetings here.

Analysis

We conduct analyses both to inform our work and based on our work – the EPfR project aims to produce findings and lessons that can be considered by actors involved in peace efforts in Yemen and integrated in future climate security programming worldwide. To do so, we produce research and analysis on aspects of environmental security and governance in Yemen and extract actionable insights from our work. Explore our analysis and outreach activities here.

Where we work

The project engaged Yemenis across 13 governorates, as well as political and technical representatives at the national and international level.

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